World Economic outlook - Why China currency sudden fall : China’s economy officially grew at an annual rate of 7 per
cent during the first half of this year, neatly in line with the government’s
full-year target. However, some doubt that figure — Capital Economics, for
example, reckons it is 5-6 per cent — and there are widespread suggestions that
further stimulus will be needed to prevent a slowdown.
Yet an export revival would boost growth only marginally.
Contrary to received wisdom, China has not pursued so-called “export-led
growth” for the past decade. Net exports subtracted 3 per cent from annual
growth in Chinese gross domestic product on average from 2004 to 2014.
Meanwhile, investment contributed an average of 52 per cent of growth each
year.